By following the guidelines put in place by the province, we are making a difference in the fight against COVID 19. Based on the efforts the province has been able to put forth a “low” modelling scenario estimating 298 Albertans will require hospitalization and 95 will require critical care when the virus reaches its peak. If the current trends continue, this scenario will become the most likely scenario for Alberta.
Dr Hinshaw was cautiously optimistic, "The modelling forecast shared today, is good news. Alberta is starting to the see the results of the collective sacrifices we have made."
Currently, there are 82 Albertans hospitalized, with 21 in intensive care. These numbers are below the projections made in early April and are the reason behind the adjusted more encouraging "low" model.
That is not to say that the virus does not continue to offer a deadly threat. Hinshaw says,"This fight is far from over, modelling is just a projection of a potential future. It is not a guarantee and cases could easily spike if we are not careful."
There were 154 new cases reported on Tuesday, for a total of 4850 in the province. Sadly, 5 more deaths were reported bringing that grim total to 80. 1800 Albertans have recovered. In the Cochrane/Springbank area there are 17 cases, 5 that are active and 12 recovered. There have been no deaths in the area.